As we close out 2020, let’s take a look back at the top 5 tech predictions we got wrong this year.
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We’re only a few weeks into 2020, but it’s already been a big year for the tech industry We’ve seen major announcements from Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, and there’s still more to come.
As we look back on the year so far, there are a few things that stand out as surprises. Here are the top 5 tech predictions that we got wrong in 2020:
1. Apple will launch a 5G iPhone in 2020
2. The foldable phone will be a success
3. TikTok will be banned in the US
4. 5G will take off
5. Blockbuster games will continue to dominate
What We Got Wrong
At the beginning of 2020, no one could have predicted the events that would unfold over the course of the year. The pandemic, the presidential election, and the economic downturn were all unforeseen events that shaped the tech industry in 2020. As we look back on the year, there are a few things that we got wrong in our predictions for the tech industry. Here are the top 5 tech predictions of 2020 that didn’t quite pan out.
The Death of the Smartphone
In 2020, we thought that the smartphone was finally going to die. All signs pointed to it. Smartwatches were on the rise. Apple was rumored to be working on an AR headset. And 5G was supposed to usher in a new era of connected devices. But despite all of this, the smartphone is still very much alive and well. In fact, it’s thriving.
The Rise of the Chinese Tech Giant
In 2020, we predicted that a Chinese tech giant would emerge to challenge the likes of Apple and Google. While this may still happen, it didn’t happen in 2020. The closest we got was ByteDance, the company behind TikTok, which was in talks to go public in 2020 but ultimately postponed its plans.
The Virtual Reality Revolution
It’s been five years since Oculus Rift and HTC Vive launched, and virtual reality hasn’t taken over the world like some predicted. While there are now a number of great VR headsets on the market, they’re still too expensive for most people and there’s no killer app that justifies the purchase. As a result, VR has remained a niche technology with a small but passionate following.
The End of the PC
The personal computer has been on a steady decline for years, and 2020 was supposed to be the year that it finally died. Sales of PCs have been shrinking for years, as users have shifted their focus to mobile devices like smartphones and tablets. This trend was only accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic, as people started working and learning from home on their laptops and smartphones instead of going into the office.
However, PC sales have actually increased in 2020, as people have turned to laptops and desktop computers to work and learn from home. In fact, PC shipments were up 13% in the second quarter of 2020 compared to the same period last year. This is largely due to the increase in demand for laptop computers, which are more portable and easier to use for work and school.
So, what does this mean for the future of the PC? It’s hard to say for sure. However, it seems likely that the PC will continue to decline in popularity, as mobile devices become more powerful and affordable.
The Dawn of the Post-PC Era
In May 2020, Apple announced a major shift in its strategy: the company would begin transitioning away from Intel chips, and instead start using its own custom-designed chips based on Arm technology. This was a move that had been rumoured for years, but it still came as a surprise to many. The switch will take two years to complete, and it means that Apple will be able to offer much better battery life and performance on its devices while also reducing their size.
This announcement signals the end of the PC era, which began in 1981 with the launch of the first IBM PC. For nearly four decades, the PC has been the dominant platform for computing, but that era is now coming to an end. The PC will still be around for many years to come, but it will no longer be the center of the tech world
The post-PC era will be defined by three things: mobile devices, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence. Mobile devices are already the primary computing platform for many people, and that trend is only going to accelerate in the years ahead. Cloud computing is also becoming increasingly important, as more and more businesses move their data and applications off of traditional servers and into the cloud. And AI is beginning to transform every industry, from healthcare to transportation.
The post-PC era will be defined by these three trends, and Apple’s switch to Arm chips is just one example of how they’re reshaping the tech world.
In conclusion, the top 5 tech predictions for 2020 were:
1. 5G will become widely available
2. Tech giants will become more powerful
3. We will see more AI and automation
4. Privacy will become a bigger concern
5. Augmented reality will go mainstream
Of these predictions, only two turned out to be completely accurate. 5G did become widely available, and privacy did become a bigger concern. The other three predictions were not entirely accurate, though they did contain some elements of truth. Tech giants did become more powerful, but AI and automation did not advance as predicted. And while augmented reality did become more popular, it did not go mainstream.